MLB Sims

Daily MLB predictions, backed by a Poisson model that simulates every game 10,000 times.

Today's slate, win probabilities, and our public accuracy track record live at https://mlbsims.com — updated every morning before first pitch.

What you'll find here:

Predicted vs Actual daily recap Shorts — see how the model did yesterday
Every-pitch compilations from the league's best starters: Skenes, Wheeler, Cease, Skubal, Crochet, Webb, and more
Park-adjusted matchup analysis; full methodology at https://mlbsims.com/methodology
No hot takes. Just the math.

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